This year's global container ship capacity is expected to grow at a pace of only 4.6 per cent, the lowest ever recorded for the global containership fleet, according to Alphaliner.
Falling below the previously smallest year-on-year increase of 5.5 per cent, recorded in 2009, this year will register well below the average annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.3 per cent, recorded since 1990.
In combination, the slower pace of vessel deliveries and the projected increase in the numbers of container ships sold for demolition, are expected to curb 2016 net fleet growth to less than 1 Mteu of nominal vessel capacity.
Adjusted for potential deferrals, vessel deliveries are expected to reach 1.25 Mteu this year, compared to a record capacity of 1.72 Mteu delivered in 2015, and Alphaliner added this figure could end up even lower if the current weak market demand persists over the course of the year.
"Continued slow demand could prompt owners to delay deliveries of some ships in their order books, while a small number of orders, placed at financially troubled yards, could be cancelled altogether," Alphaliner said.
Vessel scrapping and other deletions are expected to reach an estimated 350,000 teu this year, as sagging demand is expected to increasingly force owners to de-commission elderly ships.
The number of vessels sold for scrap surged last December, with 15 units for 51,000 teu sold within that month alone. These ships accounted for more than a quarter of the total of 192,000 teu scrapped in 2015.
Source: Fiji Times. 27 January 2016