20 January 2014

GMS weekly report on China ship breaking industry for WEEK 02 of 2014:

Even as Chinese buyers started to show signs of life, there was little they could do to persuade any market vessels to come their way and elude the clutches of what is an extremely bullish Indian sub continent market at present.

It was little surprise therefore to see no market sales register, and it may be a barren period of time for local recyclers (during what tends to be a generally more successful  period of time for them traditionally) in the build up to Chinese New year holidays at  the end of January.

Nevertheless, the success in snaring the bulk of the Chinese flagged state controlled tonnage for demo should stand them in good stead, regardless of whether they capture their share of the international tonnage, as the largest holidays of the calendar year in China approach.

Source: steel guru. 15 January 2014

GMS weekly report on Pakistan ship breaking industry for WEEK 02 of 2014:

As both India and Bangladeshi markets surged ahead this week, with each securing  market tonnage, Pakistani buyers were left in the shade once again, with numbers  trailing in the wake of their competitors.

It may be due to a lack of favored tonnage as containers remain the vessels of the moment (due to poor charter rates) and buyers tend to avoid them due to draft issues affecting beaching.

Local steel plate prices and the currency remain stable and capacity too remains good, but it may take some more aggression to compete if Pakistani buyers want to secure their share of the tonnage and divert from the hands of their sub-continent neighbors.

Source: steel guru. 15 January 2014
http://www.steelguru.com/international_news/GMS_weekly_report_on_Pakistan_ship_breaking_industry_for_WEEK_02/331076.html

GMS weekly report on Bangladesh ship breaking industry for WEEK 02 of 2014:

As the political situation starts to settle down in the country, local buyers returned to the bidding tables, keen to stock their yards and acquire units once again.

 The ruling party has kept their place in government, and although there is still an  element connected to the opposition party that is seeking to destabilize events (just as  they had in the build up to the election by torching polling stations and taking to the streets), a certain order has been restored to Bangladesh.

 It was in this environment that the Bangladeshi owned handy bulker GREEN OCEAN 1 (8,168 LDT) was committed for a firm USD 430/LT LDT to one keen buyer.

 The demand emanating from local buyers seems to suggest that focus has switched to smaller units for the time, being rather than the favored larger LDT VLCCs and capsize bulkers (even though there is a dearth of such units currently available).

Source: steel guru. 15 January 2014
http://www.steelguru.com/international_news/GMS_weekly_report_on_Bangladesh_ship_breaking_industry_for_WEEK_02/331083.html

Ship owners scrap 1,119 ships during 2013 on the back of oversupply issues:

Scrapping of older vessels is still the best bet that ship owners can make, in order to improve their newer vessels' fortunes, amid an oversupply of tonnage, which has plagued most shipping markets over the past couple of years. As such, it can only be deemed a good thing that owners scrapped a total of 1,119 ships over the course of 2013, making it an exceptional year for the ship breaking industry. According to figures compiled by shipbroker Lion Shipbrokers, "the majority of scrapped tonnage was bulkers, followed by general cargo vessels, containers, tankers and passenger-ships, while India held the lion’s share.

The New Year 2014 started positively as breaking yards in Subcontinent are hungry for new tonnage. Local currencies have finally settled down and steel prices have stabilized. Although upcoming elections in February are disturbing the Bangladesh scene, levels and demand remain healthy, with expectations for prices being optimistic, mainly due to the fact that yards remained empty during the last 2 months (due to political instability). Pakistan market remained stable while India is back, securing high profile tonnage (with the local currency being stable against the US dollar). Chinese market is active mainly due the subsidies available to the yards for scrapping Chinese domestic owned tonnage and their renewal of licenses before Chinese New Year holidays", Lion Shipbrokers noted.

Meanwhile, in a separate report, Golden Destiny noted that "2013 ended with scrapping business being at 26% lower levels, in terms of number of vessels, than the historical highs of 2012, but still standing at robust amount as 968 vessels reported to have been headed to the scrap yards with accumulated dwt of more than 44mil tons. During 2012, 1309 vessels reported for disposal at total deadweight of about 61mil tons", the shipbroker said.

It added that "with the opening of New Year, benchmark scrap prices in the Indian subcontinent region are standing at firm levels, with India being the most competitive by offering $410/ldt for dry and $440/ldt for wet. The Indian currency fundamentals and local steel prices are supporting the current high price momentum, while in Bangladesh; the upcoming elections have created confusion and lower activity. In China, prices have picked up by $10/ldt for dry and wet cargo and the recent government incentives for Chinese owners to scrap their vessels locally may boost further the price sentiment during the first quarter of the year".

In total, over the past week, demolition activity was 71% down on the week, with a 70% decrease of dry bulk vessel scrapping and a 60% decline in tanker and container ship scrapping. "In terms of deadweight sent for scrap, there has been 67% weekly decrease with 1 demolition deal reported for large vessel size, 1 panamax bulker. China is reportedly to have won 4 of the 7 demolition transactions, 2 India, 1 Pakistan, while there was no reported activity for Bangladesh. Benchmark scrap prices in the Indian subcontinent region: $400-410/ldt for dry and $430-$440/ldt for wet cargo. Scrap prices in China hover at $340/ldt for dry and $350/ldt for wet cargo. At a similar week in 2013, demolition activity was up by 5%, in terms of the reported number of transactions, when 19 vessels had been reported for scrap of total deadweight 975,406 tons with 9 disposals for bulkers, 1 tanker, 1 liner and 7 containers. Ship-breakers in Indian subcontinent region had been offering similar levels of the current year, $400-410/ldt for dry and $425-$435/ldt for wet cargo", Golden Destiny said.

Finally, according to Intermodal's latest weekly report, it was noted that after the demolition market "pulled back as the year kicked off, it seems that some of the lost ground has now been covered and sentiment has started to strengthen across the Indian Sub-Continent once again. Indian breakers were confident enough to increase their bids on dry units on the back of the Indian Rupee behaving steadily and steel prices settling to levels that provided confidence to local buyers, who manage to snap the majority of vessels reported heading for scrap this week. At the same time, Bangladesh seems to have steadily started coming out of the political unrest as the existing government managed to stay in place after the general elections that took place on the 5th of January, which restored some of the market confidence at least for now. The rest of the market remained quiet with Pakistani and Chinese breakers choosing to sit on the sidelines, while both prices and activity reflected that very lack of interest from end buyers in both countries. Average prices this week for wet tonnage were at around 350-445$/ldt and dry units received about 340-435$/ldt", the Piraeus-based shipbroker said.

Source: carbon positive. Thursday, 16 January 2014 02:00
http://www.carbonpositive.net/media-centre/industry-updates/2181-ship-owners-scrap-1-119-ships-during-2013-on-the-back-of-oversupply-issues.html

Bullish start to the year for Indian shipbreaking:

The shipbreaking market in India has turned distinctly bullish in the New Year amidst rising steel prices and a dearth of available ships. Recyclers are looking for junk ships as increasing freight rates force owners to delay scrapping.

In general, 5,000-10,000 ldt units are becoming the preferred range of choice in the world’s largest ship cemetery in Alang due to their lower overall cutting times, shifting the steel off yards and arranging for the import of new units.

“The problem is that freight rates for most sectors (other than perhaps containers) remain firm and the number of available candidates has slowed markedly from the same period last year,” said the Dubai-based GMS, the world’s biggest cash buyer of recycled ships.

“Nevertheless, 2014 is still expected to be a bumper year. Last year saw almost 1,200 vessels scrapped; and whilst 2014 might not emulate that, a huge number of over-aged vessels with SS/DDs due remain and newbuilding orders continue to deliver and outbalance the global fleet size.”

Bearing in mind the extreme fluctuations on both currency and steel prices in India during 2013, end buyers prefer not to hold large, expensive inventories on their plots for too long. As a result, capacity too remained encouraging as almost half of all yards remain empty, with local recyclers abstaining from taking vessels altogether.

Average prices in India rose to $415 per ldt for bulk carriers and to $445 per ldt for tankers. Prices were $5 per ldt cheaper in Bangladesh for both categories, while Pakistani offers were a further $5 per ldt behind.

The sole market sale for the week concerned the older, 5,335 ldt Japanese cement carrier Fujisan Maru, which fetched an impressive $441 per ldt. The smaller ldt would have drawn in plenty of buyers along with the highly valued range of equipment, including cement processing plant, contributing to the decent price on show.

Pakistan found it difficult on the whole to compete with their Indian and Bangladeshi counterparts. This may be due to a lack of their favourite larger-ldt tanker candidates, but at present, end-buyers are lacking the initiative or aggression to compete on market tonnage.

Finally, China has been seeking to acquire vessels from the international market once again in the build-up to Chinese New Year holidays at the end of January. However, with a difference of almost $100 per ldt with India -- $95 per ldt cheaper than India on tankers and $75 per ldt behind on bulkers – the Chinese are unable to compete.

“It would be difficult to persuade owners not to make the journey across (for vessels positioned in the Far East) or for cash buyers to take vessels ‘as is’ with an intention for a final voyage to the Indian sub continent,” GMS remarked.

Source: sea trade global. 17 January 2014