(Dow Jones) Shipping companies are
demolishing their vessels at an unprecedented rate this year, hoping to
eliminate some capacity to cushion the impact of a flood of newly built ships
entering the market.
The record-setting ship scrapping
comes as charter rates have dropped to new historical lows, which in some cases
are barely enough for companies to recover a vessel’s operating and financing
costs.
While the global financial crisis is
partly to blame for the dismal performance of freight rates, part of it is the
result of the frenetic pace of shipbuilding that began around the same time as
the onset of the crisis.
Industry executives say this year, a
record 55 million deadweight tons of global shipping capacity will be sold at a
scrap value of over $5 billion and sent to scrap yards mainly on the Indian
subcontinent to be recycled. About 40 million DWT of ships were demolished last
year.
Many smaller- and medium-sized
shipping companies are being forced to scrap their ships because they can no
longer afford to operate them or pay their loans, while some of the world’s
biggest names are actively demolishing their ships in an attempt to revive the
industry.
This financial year, Mitsui O.S.K.
Lines Ltd. (9104.TO) will scrap or idle up to 20 Capesize vessels that are
typically used to ship dry commodities like coal or iron ore, up from 14 last
year. To ensure they eliminate competition, shipowners are increasingly seeking
guarantees from cash buyers that their vessels will be scrapped and not resold
to a rival, Mr. Sharma said.
Capesize vessels–among the biggest dry
bulk carriers, with a capacity of more than 150,000 DWT–have been the worst hit
by the overcapacity and will be the single-largest category of ships being
destroyed this year, industry executives said.
A shipping boom between 2004-2008
fuelled a flood of fresh orders for Capesize vessels, and although their
charter rates collapsed by nearly 98% within six months in 2008 amid widespread
financial turmoil, the newly built Capesizes are still flowing in.
More dry bulk carriers will enter the
market this year than ever before, said Peter Sand, chief shipping analyst at
international shipping association Bimco. Last year, 100 million DWTs of newly
built dry bulk carriers were delivered globally, equivalent to all deliveries
over the 2005-2008 period, Mr. Sand said. This year, the number is expected to
jump to 110 million DWT.
The surge in ship demolitions this
year will take out nearly 5% of the global dry bulk fleet, which is “much
welcomed but likely only to provide a temporary breather to the oversupplied
dry bulk market,” Mr. Sand said.
The outlook for global trade still
remains gloomy, and some in the industry believe more ships will need to be
destroyed to bring the market in balance. Last week, the World Trade
Organization slashed its 2012 global trade growth forecast to 2.5% from 3.7%,
citing the euro zone debt crisis and economic growth concerns in the U.S. and
China.
“This year is definitely a peak, but
we expect this high level of scrapping to remain until 2015,” said Keyur Dave,
chief financial officer of Wirana Shipping Corp., one of the world’s largest
cash buyers of ships for demolition.
A.P. Moller-Maersk A/S (MAERSK-B.KO)
said this week that it will further reduce its capacity through wider use of
slow-steaming measures that not only save fuel but also have an effect of
reducing industry capacity as ships take more time to complete a voyage.
Many of the companies scrapping their
vessels are still ordering new ones, signalling their desire to build a fleet
with the right blend of older and newer, more fuel-efficient vessels that gives
them an advantage over rivals when competing for contracts, Mr. Dave said.
While up until 2008, companies
repaired their old vessels to extend their lifespans, shipowners are now
turning far younger vessels over to scrap yards, quickening the pace at which
the steel re-enters the global market. Mitsui, for one, is scrapping Capesize
vessels that are 15 years old or older, compared with 23 years in the past.
The 55 million DWTs of ships being
scrapped this year will yield about 13 million-14 million tons of steel. A
third of these will be recycled in Bangladesh, where the entire steel industry
is geared toward using scrap ship steel. Recycled ships meet nearly half of
Bangladesh’s steel demand.
Source: gcaptain.
28 September 2012
http://gcaptain.com/global-bulk-shipping-fleet-doomed/
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